- Today is:
ET NEWS
AIX security scare: Man enters right cockpit passcode
GST: You missed the deals that may not return now
PM launches mega Rs 5,000 cr projects in Arunachal
25 bps rate cut as RBI's 'best option' in Sept: SBI
Adani Green Energy shares surge 13% in 2 sessions. Jefferies forecasts 27% upside, here’s why
Shares of Adani Green Energy rallied as much as 8% to their day’s high of Rs 1,115 on the NSE on Monday, September 22, buoyed by renewed investor optimism after the market regulator SEBI gave a clean chit to Gautam Adani, his brother Rajesh Adani, and some Adani Group companies in the allegations made by US short-seller Hindenburg Research last week. The regulator said there was no proof of wrongdoing in the case related to the allegations made by the US short-seller in January 2023.With today’s surge, the stock is up 13% in 2 sessions. The bullish momentum also comes after international brokerage Jefferies upped the target price to Rs 1,300. Analysts forecast an upside potential of nearly 27% from current market levels.Also read: Adani Power shares crash 80% in just one day! Is that true?Jefferies believes that stock is trading at a 63% discount to its January 2023 peak on a one-year forward EV/EBITDA basis, leaving room for upside if execution stays on track. Jefferies projects additions of 4.5 GW in FY26 and 6.3 GW in FY27, with management reiterating its 5 GW guidance for FY26. Utilisation levels are expected to improve to above 30% from 24.8% in FY25.A promoter infusion of Rs 9,350 crore through warrants has supported the balance sheet, analysts say. Net debt to equity is projected to ease from 6.9x currently to 5.4x by FY30, while net debt to EBITDA should improve to 6.9x from 8.3x. Over 80% of installed capacity is tied up under 25-year power purchase agreements or PPAs, providing strong cash flow visibility.Since January 2023, capacity has risen 120% to 16.1 GW even as market capitalisation is 46% lower. EBITDA grew at a 36% CAGR in FY22-25 and is expected to rise 30% annually over FY25-28.Read more: Cheers to premiumisation! These 4 alcohol stocks can rally up to 18%. Do you own any?With a price target of Rs 1,300, Jefferies is valuing the stock at 20x EV/EBITDA on September 2027 estimates, a premium to JSW Energy at 15x given Adani Green’s growth profile and pure renewable focus.The risks flagged by the international brokerage include execution delays at Khavda and any adverse outcome from the ongoing US investigation.Q1 Performance SnapshotAdani Green Energy reported a 60% year-on-year (YoY) growth in its Q1 consolidated net profit at Rs 713 crore, compared to Rs 446 crore in the same period last year. Power supply-driven revenue jumped 31% YoY to Rs 3,312 crore in Q1FY26, up from Rs 2,528 crore in the year-ago period.At about 11:20 am, shares of the company were trading at Rs 1,103, higher by 7% from the last close on the NSE. Adani Green Energy shares have fallen nearly 50% in the last 1 year.(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Vembu tells techies what to do now after H-1B shock
Adani Enterprises shares rally 9% in 2 days. Jefferies sees 15% upside, here's why
Shares of Adani Enterprises surged as much as 3.4% on Monday to Rs 2,610 on the BSE, taking gains over the past two sessions to 8.7%. The rally comes in the wake of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) clearing the Adani Group of stock manipulation allegations, reinforcing investor confidence in the conglomerate.Sebi, in two detailed orders on Thursday, dismissed claims by U.S.-based short-seller Hindenburg Research that Adani entities had routed funds through related parties to manipulate stock prices.The regulator also found no violations involving substantial acquisition of securities or control that could mislead investors, concluding that there was no basis for liability or penalties. Gautam Adani welcomed the ruling, calling for an apology from those who spread what he described as Hindenburg Research’s “fraudulent and motivated” claims.Jefferies bullish on growth outlookBrokerage Jefferies maintained a Buy rating on Adani Enterprises with a target price of Rs 3,000, implying a potential 15% upside. The brokerage highlighted multiple growth drivers, including the imminent commissioning of Navi Mumbai International Airport (NMIAL) in October 2025. According to management, the airport’s inaugural phase will have a capacity of 20 million passengers and 0.8 million tonnes of cargo annually, with expectations to scale to 17 million passengers by FY27.Jefferies also highlighted rising yields across the company’s airport portfolio, with recent tariff revisions suggesting aero yield per passenger growth of 1.5-2.5x. The brokerage noted the group’s non-aeronautical developments, including city-side projects with offices, retail, hotels, and entertainment hubs, which are expected to contribute significantly to future revenue.Green energy expansion adds further momentumThe company's unit, Adani New Industries Limited (ANIL) is scaling up solar and wind capacities, with 4GW of solar modules and 2.25GW of windtech already operational, the brokerage noted. The company posted an EBITDA of Rs 48 billion in FY25, more than double the previous year, driven by strong domestic and U.S. pricing. Solar cell/module capacity is set to expand to 10GW by FY27, while green hydrogen projects will be pursued based on viability.A turnaround after turbulent monthsThe regulatory clearance comes nearly three years after Hindenburg’s January 2023 report, which triggered a severe sell-off across listed Adani companies, eroding more than $150 billion in market value at its lowest point. Since then, shares have rebounded steadily, with Monday’s gains reflecting renewed investor confidence in both governance and growth prospects.Despite the recent rally, Adani Enterprises remains down 13% over the last one year and is up 2% so far in 2025.From a technical standpoint, the stock is trading below eight of its eight key simple moving averages (SMA)—5-day, 10-day, 20-day, 30-day, 50-day, 100-day, 150-day, and 200-day, indicating bullish undertones across short-term to long-term charts.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 71.4, suggesting the stock may be overbought and could see a pullback. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 18.7 and remains above both the center and signal lines, reinforcing the ongoing bullish trend.Also read | Ola Electric vs Ather Energy shares: Which EV bet looks stronger for your portfolio right now?(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
Father sold land, didn’t inform son, won case in SC
The deals that can save you thousands and lakhs
The $100k new worry by Trump for 'good friend' Modi
Are banks open or closed today on Sep 22, 2025?
One day PoK will say 'main Bharat hoon': Rajnath
GST savings start but investors have made money
I-T glitch portal leaves many cos staring at penalties
Pak can't be considered rivals anymore: India's SKY
Check the full list of new GST rates effective today
$100,000 salt on wounds as Trump’s blow batters IT
Watch: Haris Rauf makes controversial '6-0' gesture
$100k fee to apply for H-1B petitions after Sep 21
Pagination

The Economic Times: Breaking news, views, reviews, cricket from across India
Subscribe to ET NEWS feed
Recent comments