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Nikkei extends record rally as Japan makes history with first female PM
Japan's Nikkei share gauge closed at a record high on Tuesday, led by consumer stocks, after fiscal dove Sanae Takaichi clinched a parliamentary vote to become the nation's first woman prime minister.Earlier in the day, the share gauge rose as much as 1.55%, but gave up most of its gains in choppy trade after Japan's two houses of parliament confirmed Takaichi as premier.The Nikkei 225 Index closed 0.3% higher at an unprecedented 49,316.06. The broader Topix pared early gains to settle near the flatline. Japanese government bonds rallied and the yen weakened.As Takaichi campaigned for and won the leadership of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party earlier this month, the so-called "Takaichi trade" emerged that was bullish on equities and bearish for long-term bonds and the yen. But her ascent to the prime minister's seat was delayed after long-time political partner Komeito split from the coalition.In the previous session, the Nikkei soared after the LDP secured a new partner in the Japan Innovation Party, known as Ishin, to strengthen Takaichi's support in the Diet.The coalition will still be a minority in government, which may limit the scope of their fiscal plans, according to Mizuho Securities senior market economist Yusuke Matsuo."We think the administration will be compelled to take a pragmatic approach to economic policy and do not expect the Takaichi trade to gain significant traction in the medium term," Matsuo wrote in a note.Takaichi received 237 votes in a lower house vote on Tuesday, topping the majority of the 465-seat chamber. Market attention now turns to who may fill out her cabinet for signs of how the new government will approach spending and debt management.The new prime minister has finalised a plan to appoint former regional revitalisation minister, Satsuki Katayama, as finance minister, broadcaster FNN reported on Tuesday. Katayama, an upper house lawmaker and former finance ministry bureaucrat, told Reuters in March that Japan's economic fundamentals suggest the yen's real value is stronger than where it has traded of late.There were 125 advancers on the Nikkei index against 99 decliners. The largest gainers were video game maker DeNA , which gained 6.6%, followed by online fashion retailer ZOZO, up 4.1%.Prices for JGBs broadly rose, sending yields lower. The benchmark 10-year JGB yield fell 1 basis point (bp) to 1.655%, and the five-year yield slid 2 bps to 1.22%. The yen slid 0.4% to 151.36 to the U.S. dollar.Structural reforms and strategic investment under the new administration may come to define an updated version of the Takaichi trade, according to Naka Matsuzawa, chief macro strategist at Nomura Securities."The new Takaichi trade is more of a flattening of the yield curve and a stock market rally driven by the domestic demand stocks," Matsuzawa said. "The stock market will probably lose momentum after investors realize that Takaichi is not as reflationary as they thought and the yen actually strengthens."
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Onion tears flood Maha, farm despair deepens
When Sudam Ingle, a farmer from Purandar in Maharashtra, took his onions to the local market last week, he returned home with just Rs 664 for 7.5 quintals of produce -- the result of a season of backbreaking labour and a year’s worth of hope. The incessant rains had destroyed most of his crop. What remained fetched prices so low that, after deducting transport and weighing charges, selling them only deepened his losses.“I spent around Rs 66,000 on my onion crop,” Ingle told The Times of India's Ardhra Nair, standing by his rain-soaked field. “I’ll run a rotor through the remaining onions and turn them into fertiliser. That’s more profitable than selling.”Across Maharashtra, stories like Ingle’s have become all too common. Relentless rains have wrecked crops -- from onions, tomatoes, and potatoes to pomegranates and soyabean -- while collapsing prices have left farmers with little to show for their toil. The cascading effect has reached rural markets, which usually thrive during the festive season.“This year, Diwali is being celebrated only in cities. In villages, there’s no money even to buy a diya,” an Agricultural Produce Market Committee (APMC) member from Nashik told the newspaper.Onions Rot, Markets StagnateAt Lasalgaon APMC, Asia’s largest onion market, prices have been stuck between Rs 500 and Rs 1,400 per quintal, averaging around Rs 1,050 (Rs 10.50 per kg). A bumper summer crop in March-April, combined with damaged new harvests, has created a glut of poor-quality onions.“About 80% of the onion crop in Nashik was damaged by rain,” said an APMC official. “Farmers who stored their produce hoping for higher prices are now selling at distress rates. The salvaged onions are of low quality and fetching poor returns.”Ingle’s calculations tell the story starkly. He sold 393 kg of onions at Rs 3 per kg, 202 kg at Rs 2, and 146 kg at Rs 10, earning Rs 1,729 before expenses. After paying Rs 1,065 for transport, loading and weighing, his net earnings were just Rs 664. “Being a farmer means a life of struggles,” he said.‘Better to Destroy Than Sell’For many, the losses extend beyond onions. Manikrao Zende, another Purandar farmer, saw his investments in pomegranates and custard apples washed away. “I spent Rs 1.5 lakh on my pomegranate farm, but the plants turned black due to nonstop rains,” he said. “I had to discard them. My custard apple saplings, worth Rs 1 lakh, sold for barely half that.”Faced with such losses, Zende decided to destroy his onion crop altogether. “Selling would only deepen my losses. At least if I plough it back, it becomes fertiliser,” he said.Zende also drew a link between rural distress and rising crime. “When farmer families have no money, their children are left idle. Some migrate to cities, but many stay back with no jobs and no hope. It’s no surprise some drift into crime. The day farmers get fair prices, crime will fall.”Imported Stock, Fading HopesAt Pimpalgaon Baswant APMC, tomatoes are selling for around Rs 1,100 per 20 kg crate. But many farmers are losing faith in the market. Manik Gore, a farmer and commissioning agent at Chakan APMC, said he sowed soyabean this year on one acre -- a rare move for him. The rains wiped it out.“My input cost was Rs 20,000, completely gone,” he said. “Even the onions coming in are spoiled. Out of 50 kg, barely 10 kg sells at a decent rate; the rest go for Rs 2–Rs 3 per kg.”To make matters worse, produce from other states -- particularly onions and potatoes from Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat -- is flooding Maharashtra’s markets. “Good-quality potatoes are selling at Rs 10–Rs 15 per kg,” Gore said. “But the cost of cultivation per acre is around Rs 40,000. Whatever we’re getting now is nothing.”Lost MarketsGore blames government policy for deepening the crisis. “Last year, when onion prices rose, the government banned exports,” he said. “We lost our international clients to other countries. When the ban was finally lifted, the markets were gone. If the government can ban exports when prices rise, should it not buy onions at good prices when they crash?”This, he said, reflects a pattern of neglect. “Farmers carry all the risk but get none of the reward. Farming has become a life of suffering.”Soyabean, Toor and Chana: The Bleak OutlookThe pain isn’t limited to vegetables. In Latur, one of India’s largest soyabean markets, around half the crop has been damaged. “Good-quality soyabean is selling for Rs 4,100–Rs 4,250 per quintal, but rain-hit stock fetches only Rs 2,000–Rs 3,000,” said trader Ramesh Suryavanshi. “That doesn’t even cover half the input cost.”Even those who stored their produce from previous seasons hoping for better prices are being forced to sell cheap. “Soyabean prices haven’t improved in two years. The rates for chana and toor dal are also weak,” Suryavanshi said. “Good-quality chana sells at Rs 5,400–Rs 5,500, while damaged stock goes for Rs 3,000. Toor dal fetches a maximum of Rs 6,800.”For farmers, this means no surplus to spend during the festive season -- and for the rural economy, no revival in sight. “Farmers have lost their purchasing power,” Suryavanshi said. “Even Diwali businesses are suffering. The overall mood is bleak.”
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5 facts about Australia's critical minerals
The United States has inked a critical minerals deal with Australia, opening an alternative pipeline of highly sought-after metals as China tightens its grip on production.China dominates the production of metals used in everything from solar panels to precision missiles -- and has threatened to strangle supplies in a tit-for-tat trade war with Washington.Australia and the United States will jointly pump around $3 billion into critical minerals projects over the next six months.Here are five things you should know about Australia and critical mineralsTreasure troveGovernment figures show Australia is among the world's top five producers of lithium, cobalt and manganese, which enable things like rechargeable batteries and aircraft jet engines.It is also home to substantial deposits of rare earth elements -- a subset of critical minerals -- such as neodymium and praseodymium.These rare earth metals are used to make strong magnets with myriad military and industrial applications.Unfinished productAustralia is very good at digging up these minerals, but like most other mining nations has struggled to process them onshore. More than 90 percent of Australia's lithium is shipped off each year to the hulking refineries of China.Australian efforts to build refining capacity have been held back by environmental concerns and the high cost of infrastructure. Also read: What is precious in Australia that China is hoardingBreaking the monopolyChina is easily the world's largest refiner of lithium and nickel, and has a near monopoly on the processing of rare earth elements. Beijing has previously banned the export of processing technology that could help rival nations and has been accused of using state-imposed quotas to manipulate supply in the past.Analysts say Australia poses little threat to this dominance -- but could offer a reliable, albeit smaller pipeline that lessens the risk of relying on China.No secretsAustralian company Lynas bills itself as the "world's only significant producer of separated rare earth materials outside China". The US government has already agreed a $258 million contract for Lynas to build a new refinery in Texas.Foreign meddlingAustralia is worried that the growing strategic importance of critical minerals could see foreign powers try to infiltrate homegrown mining companies."Australian critical minerals companies are a target for a range of foreign actors seeking to gain a commercial, technological or strategic advantage," reads an official advisory from March.Last year, the government forced a string of Chinese shareholders to sell their stakes in Australian rare earths business Northern Minerals.
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